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Investor confidence soars on PSX after unchanged CGT in budget

The equity market rose sharply on Wednesday amid strong investor confidence in the newly announced federal budget, with analysts pointing to favourable tax treatment and IMF-aligned fiscal discipline as key drivers of sentiment.

The Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) benchmark KSE-100 Index climbed to an intraday high of 124,135.96, gaining 2,111.52 points, or 1.73%, and touched a low of 123,237.99, reflecting a rise of 1,213.55 points, or 0.9%.

Brokers and analysts welcomed the FY2025–26 budget, which kept the capital gains tax (CGT) on equities unchanged at 15%, while increasing taxes on interest income — a move seen as tilting investor preference towards stocks.

“Lower taxes on equity versus fixed income is a major trigger for PSX.

This is just the beginning towards 150,000 in a year,” said independent investment and economic analyst AAH Soomro.

The budget projects Rs19.3 trillion in revenues and Rs25.8 trillion in expenditures, resulting in a federal fiscal deficit of Rs6.5 trillion, or 5.0% of GDP.

The overall national deficit is estimated at Rs5 trillion (3.9% of GDP), requiring provincial governments to generate a Rs1.5 trillion surplus — up from Rs1 trillion in FY25.

Topline Securities noted that if passed without significant changes, the budget could support a re-rating of the market’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio from 5.2x to 7x, further enhancing the appeal of equities in the coming fiscal year.

The rally follows a modest advance on Tuesday, when the KSE-100 Index rose by 383.44 points, or 0.32%, to close at 122,024.44.

The index hit a high of 122,611.53 and a low of 121,589.90 during that session.

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